Economy Archives - Page 7 of 11

Sri Lankan Rupee Depreciates Sharply Against US Dollar 2022

The historic decline of the Sri Lankan rupee against the US Dollar in 2022 marks a crisis. It fell 44.5% against the dollar by August 19, 2022. This drop came amid severe forex shortages and soaring inflation.

Sri Lankan Rupee Depreciates Sharply Against US Dollar in 2022

The US Dollar hit a high of Rs. 369 between March 7th and May 13th, 2022. This was a big jump from Rs. 304 on March 20th. By November 30th, the rupee had fallen to Rs. 329 against the dollar.

The rupee’s sharp drop of Rs 164.75 against the US Dollar has hurt the economy. It also fell against other major currencies during this time.

The rupee declined against the Indian rupee (40.5%), Euro (37.6%), and pound sterling (37.1%). It also dropped against the Japanese yen (34.3%). These drops made the economic crisis even worse.

Factors Contributing to the Sharp Depreciation of the Sri Lankan Rupee

The Sri Lankan Rupee plummeted against the US Dollar in 2022. Several factors led to this economic crisis. Forex market instability, rising import costs, and inflation put enormous pressure on the currency.

Economic Crisis and Forex Market Volatility

Sri Lanka’s economy faced numerous challenges before the 2022 crisis. The 2018 constitutional crisis and 2019 Easter Sunday attacks weakened the economy. COVID-19 in 2020 and 2021 further destabilized it.

The Rupee lost 40% of its value against the dollar in just three months. This happened from February 2022 onwards. Real GDP shrank by 7.1% year-on-year in 2022’s first three quarters.

economic crisis Sri Lanka

Surge in Import Costs and Inflation

Inflation, measured by the Colombo CPI (CCPI), hit 70% in September 2022. It slowed to 54% by January 2023. Rising import costs and currency devaluation heavily burdened businesses and consumers.

The exchange rate settled at about 360 Rupee/Dollar in May 2022. This was under the Central Bank of Sri Lanka’s FX market guidance.

Year	Total Revenue	Tax Revenue	Total Expenditure and Net Lending	Overall Balance	Primary Balance
2022	2,012	1,751	4,473	-2,460	-895

US Dollar Strength and Currency Shortage

The strong US Dollar and low foreign currency reserves worsened the Rupee’s decline. Gross international reserves (GIR) were about $1.9 billion in December 2022.

The government’s decision to use up reserves before seeking IMF help fueled the economic crisis. This choice left the country with almost no reserves in early 2022.

Impact of the Rupee Depreciation on the Sri Lankan Economy

The Sri Lankan rupee’s sharp fall has shaken the country’s economy. It’s affected living costs, inflation, imports, and debt repayment. On June 20, the rupee hit Rs. 170.56 against the US dollar. This drop has worsened Sri Lanka’s economic troubles.

Rise in Cost of Living and Inflation

The weak rupee has made life costlier for Sri Lankans. In September 2022, inflation hit a record 69.8%. Food prices soared even higher, reaching 94.9%.

The National Consumer Price Index rose 58.9% in June 2022. Meanwhile, the Colombo Consumer Price Index jumped 60.8% in July 2022.

Challenges for Importers and Businesses

Sri Lankan importers and businesses face tough times. The weak rupee has made imports pricier. This hurts companies that rely on foreign goods and materials.

Consumers now pay more, while businesses earn less. Fuel price hikes have also increased the country’s oil import costs.

Strain on Foreign Debt Repayment

By March 2022, Sri Lanka’s government debt hit Rs. 21,696.6 billion. This was up from Rs. 17,589.4 billion in late 2021.

The falling rupee makes foreign debt repayment harder. The debt’s value in rupees has grown. This strains the country’s finances further. Sri Lanka’s external debt reached USD 37.5 billion in June 2024.

Sri Lankan Rupee Depreciates Sharply Against US Dollar in 2022

The Sri Lankan Rupee faced major challenges in 2022. It sharply depreciated against the US Dollar and other currencies. The Central Bank reported a 44.5% drop against the US Dollar by August 19, 2022.

This decline stemmed from the country’s economic crisis and forex market instability. The US Dollar’s overall strength also played a role.

Rupee Depreciation by 44.5% Against US Dollar in 2022

The Rupee hit an all-time low of 372.00 against the US Dollar in May 2022. This sharp fall had wide-reaching effects on Sri Lanka’s economy. It led to higher import costs, inflation, and strain on foreign debt repayment.

Businesses and individuals felt the impact too. Many Sri Lankans worried about the rising cost of living.

Cross Currency Exchange Rate Movements

The Rupee’s decline wasn’t limited to the US Dollar. It also fell against other major currencies during this time. The Central Bank reported drops against the Indian Rupee, Euro, Pound Sterling, and Japanese Yen.

These cross currency exchange rate movements further highlighted Sri Lanka’s economic struggles in 2022.

Currency	Depreciation (%)
US Dollar	44.5%
Indian Rupee	40.5%
Euro	37.6%
Pound Sterling	37.1%
Japanese Yen	34.3%

Conclusion

The Sri Lankan Rupee’s fall against the US Dollar in 2022 fueled the country’s economic crisis. Forex shortages, inflation, and currency movements caused this decline. This led to higher living costs and business challenges.

The crisis caused a 7.8% GDP drop in 2023. Hyperinflation hit 73% in September 2022. The government asked the IMF and World Bank for help to stabilize the economy.

Some positive signs emerged. Reserves grew to US$ 2.6 Billion in July 2023. The IMF approved a US$ 3 Billion bailout program. However, recovery will be slow and difficult.

Sri Lanka must focus on helping its most vulnerable citizens. It also needs to boost competitiveness and attract foreign investment. A well-planned approach is key to overcoming this crisis.

Sri Lanka’s E-Government Services Expand Amidst Pandemic

The South Asian island nation of Sri Lanka is seeing big changes in how it’s run. Thanks to digital transformation, the government is pushing fast to get online government services out there. This ensures important work can still happen, even in tough times. The pandemic has really made the move to remote access to government services take off. It’s all part of a plan to grow Sri Lanka’s digital economy.

With the help of State Minister Kanaka Herath, Sri Lanka has big digital goals. They want their digital economy to hit about $15 million by 2030. That’s a huge jump from $4 million in 2022. They’ve set up a plan with the National Digital Strategy 2030. It aims to get more people online and build a strong digital infrastructure.

COVID-19 shook things up, but Sri Lanka kept moving forward. More people are using the internet and social media now than before. The government is working hard to make e-services better. And they’re excited about starting a new digital ID system.

At the same time, Sri Lanka is beefing up its digital laws. They’ve approved the Data Protection Act. This creates a new Data Protection Authority. They’re also working on a Cyber-Security Act. These moves are all about keeping data safe and making sure their digital government is strong.

Sri Lanka’s dedication to digital is inspiring. It’s not just about technology; it’s about bringing people together and making life better. They’re using tech to improve things like health and farming. This will keep the economy and people’s health strong after the pandemic.

Sri Lanka’s E-Government Services Expand Amidst Pandemic

Sri Lanka has taken big steps in digital governance, especially because of COVID-19. It is working on making government e-services and improving government digital infrastructure better. This helps meet the urgent needs of its people. It also increases digital use among them.

The Genesis of Digital Governance in Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka started its digital governance to improve life quality. It looked up to Estonia, known for its digital success. Sri Lanka wants to raise its digital literacy rate and get more people online. Right now, only 37% of its residents use the internet.

Even with better technology and lower costs, more digital projects are needed. A big problem is that many people don’t know enough about how to use digital tools well.

Accelerated Digital Transformation Through National Digital Strategy 2030

COVID-19 made Sri Lanka push its digital change faster with its National Digital Strategy 2030 plan. This plan uses technology to help in social and economic growth. By improving government e-services, it builds a strong digital environment. This prepares Sri Lanka for future challenges and ensures everyone can access information and services.

The Role of ICTA During the COVID-19 Outbreak

During COVID-19, the ICTA showed how vital it is. It came up with digital solutions to help manage the crisis. ICTA created apps like MyHealth Sri Lanka. These apps shared important information and helped with things like airport clearances and tracking contacts.

The work by ICTA supports digitalization initiatives and the aim to improve government digital infrastructure. These efforts link to the National Digital Strategy 2030. They show a plan to increase tourism, enhance public health, and promote digital skills. This creates a digital-first mindset in government and public actions.

Year	Internet Penetration Rate (%)	Digital Literacy Rate (%)
2019	29.3	28.6
2020	34.3	37.0
2021	38.5	42.0

As Sri Lanka moves forward after the pandemic, improving digital skills is key. By focusing on government e-services, the country is a model for blending digital and traditional governance. This approach makes the society more connected and stronger.

Driving Factors Behind the Surge in Digitalization

Sri Lanka is quickly becoming digital, thanks to several reasons. The COVID-19 pandemic made digital options a must. The country now aims to be a big part of the global digital marketplace. With over 60% of people having mobiles, there’s a strong base for digital growth. Sri Lanka’s digital sector is now worth almost US$3.47 billion. This shows the nation’s big push toward digital technology.

Working with other countries is key to Sri Lanka’s digital plans. For example, India helped fund the Unique Digital Identity Project with 450 million Indian rupees. This project and others like MOSIP show Sri Lanka’s effort to give its citizens a digital ID. But there have been challenges, like delays and worries about data safety. These issues highlight the need for strong privacy and security steps.

Sri Lanka is also focusing on digital education. Projects like ECD and AHEAD are enhancing digital skills among students. This effort is supported by the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank (ADB). The country is getting ready for a future with a digital-savvy workforce.

Sri Lanka Government Launches Domestic Debt Restructuring Plan

Sri Lanka has unveiled a domestic debt restructuring plan to tackle its economic crisis. The strategy aims to meet IMF bailout conditions and restore stability. The goal is to reduce overall debt to 95% of GDP by 2032.

Government Launches Domestic Debt Restructuring Plan

Sri Lanka is implementing major economic reforms as part of the IMF program. The plan includes a 30% haircut for local dollar-denominated bonds. These bonds will have a six-year maturity at 4% interest.

Bilateral dollar creditors have a different option. They can choose no principal haircut with a 15-year maturity. This option includes a nine-year grace period at 1.5% interest.

The restructuring also covers local currency bonds held by superannuation funds. These will be swapped for longer maturity bonds with 9% interest. CBSL-held Treasury bills will become bonds maturing between 2029-2038.

Sri Lanka’s economy faces severe challenges. The country’s GDP shrank by 7.8% in 2022 and 11.5% in Q1 2023. Real wages fell by 30-50% in 2022. Nearly 43% of children under five suffer from malnutrition.

The government aims to finalize debt restructuring talks by September. This aligns with the first review of its IMF program. The goal is to address pressing issues and pave the way for economic recovery.

Overview of Sri Lanka’s Domestic Debt Restructuring Plan

Sri Lanka’s Central Bank has unveiled a new debt restructuring strategy. This plan aims to restore economic stability and meet IMF bailout conditions. It’s a vital step towards debt sustainability and improved fiscal policy.

Sri Lanka debt restructuring plan

The plan covers part of Sri Lanka’s $42bn domestic debt. It’s crucial for reaching the IMF’s target of reducing overall debt to 95% of GDP by 2032. Local currency bonds will be exchanged for longer-term bonds with 9% interest.

Impact on Retirement Funds

Sri Lanka’s retirement funds, worth Rs 4,354 billion, are greatly affected by this plan. The real value of these funds dropped by over 40% in 2022. This was due to currency depreciation and price increases.

Retirement Fund	Total Asset Value (Rs billion)	Accounts (millions)
Employees’ Provident Fund (EPF)	3,919	19.2
Other Retirement Funds	435	–
Total	4,354	–

The debt restructuring could cause retirement funds to lose 29% of their value over 10 years. By 2038, they might lose 47% of their value. These funds’ value is expected to drop from 17.7% to 9.4% of GDP.

Importance for External Debt Renegotiations

The success of this plan is vital for Sri Lanka’s $36bn external debt talks. This includes $24bn held by bondholders and creditors like China, Japan, and India. By showing commitment to reforms, Sri Lanka can improve its chances for favorable external debt terms.

Government Launches Domestic Debt Restructuring Plan

Sri Lanka’s government has unveiled a domestic debt restructuring plan to address the country’s economic crisis. The plan targets $42.1 billion of Sri Lanka’s $83 billion total debt. It’s supported by 122 lawmakers in the 225-member parliament.

This plan is part of the conditions for the IMF bailout package. It aims to tackle the domestic portion of Sri Lanka’s debt.

Options for Holders of Locally Issued Dollar-Denominated Bonds

The restructuring plan offers three options for holders of locally issued dollar-denominated bonds. These bonds include Sri Lanka Development Bonds (SLDBs).

Option	Principal Haircut	Maturity	Interest Rate
1	30%	6 years	4%
2	–	15 years (9-year grace period)	1.5%
3	Exchange for local currency bonds	10 years	SLFR + 1%

Treatment of Local Currency Bonds Held by Superannuation Funds

Superannuation funds’ local currency bonds will be exchanged for longer maturity bonds. These new bonds will mature between 2027 and 2038 with a 9 percent interest rate.

Funds refusing to participate may face a 30 percent tax penalty. This applies to pension funds and other superannuation funds.

Exclusion of Treasury Bills and Bonds Held by Banking Sector

Central Bank governor Nandalal Weerasinghe proposed converting treasury bills into longer-maturity treasury bonds. However, the banking sector’s treasury bills and bonds are excluded from restructuring.

This exclusion considers the significant stress currently faced by the banking sector.

Importance of Domestic Debt Rework for Foreign Debt Renegotiations

The domestic debt restructuring is expected to boost foreign debt renegotiations. Sri Lanka aims to reduce its $36bn foreign debt by $17 billion through restructuring.

The government is engaging with foreign creditors like the Paris Club, India, and China. They plan to finalize debt restructuring talks by September.

This timeline aligns with the first review of Sri Lanka’s IMF programme. The IMF recently approved a nearly $3 billion bailout package for the country.

Conclusion

Sri Lanka’s domestic debt restructuring plan is a key step towards economic recovery. The Central Bank will present the framework to Parliament for approval. They aim to finalize the bond exchange of superannuated funds by July’s end.

The government declared a five-day holiday from June 29 to July 3. This move will help manage market volatility and allow for loss recognition from bond sales. The plan’s success is crucial for creditor negotiations and regaining financial stability.

The debt agreements will reduce the government’s annual fiscal requirement by over 13%. This reduction will occur between 2027-2032, keeping debt payments below 4.5% of GDP. The government plans to clear bilateral loan installments by 2028 and settle concessional loans by 2043.

The President has outlined a four-step plan to boost the economy. It focuses on securing credit, implementing fiscal discipline, and attracting foreign investment. The goal is to transform Sri Lanka into a developed economy by 2048.

The restructuring plan’s execution within two years shows remarkable progress. Moving from near-bankruptcy to positive outcomes is impressive by global standards. This plan will play a vital role in creating a stable, prosperous future for Sri Lanka.

Dr. Hans to Step Down from Axiata Group to Lead SL

Dr. Hans Wijayasuriya, a key figure in telecommunications, is leaving Axiata Group. He’s been with them for over 30 years. He played a major role in markets like Malaysia, Indonesia, and others. Now, he’s moving to head Sri Lanka’s digital drive.

Dr. Wijayasuriya won the 2024 GSMA Chairman’s Award for his global mobile industry work. He’s the new Chief Advisor to Sri Lanka’s President on Digital Economy. His work starts on January 15, 2025, advising on digital policies.

He’s still helping Axiata Group as CEO of Telecommunications Business. He’ll hold this position until he starts his new role in Sri Lanka. There, he aims to enhance the digital landscape. This move could position Sri Lanka to top Asian Frontier Markets in 2025.

Dr. Hans to Step Down from Axiata Group to Lead SL’s Digital Economy Agenda

Dr. Hans Wijayasuriya’s Departure from Axiata Group

For over three decades, Dr. Hans Wijayasuriya played a key role at Axiata Group. His work led to major changes in the telecommunications industry. He also began a leadership transition and corporate restructuring. Wijayasuriya’s guidance helped Axiata grow and reach new markets.

Celebrating a 30-Year Tenure and His Role in Telecommunications

Dr. Wijayasuriya spent more than 20 years leading Dialog Axiata. Under his watch, it grew into a top player in its market. With over 11 million customers, it moved from 4th to 1st place because of his efforts.

Axiata Group Leadership and Global Mobile Industry Impact

With Dr. Wijayasuriya in charge, Axiata Group made huge investments in Sri Lanka reaching $1.9 billion by 2015. He led the acquisition of MTT and expanded services. His push for digital solutions made Axiata a tougher competitor.

His work boosted Axiata’s operations and set the stage for future leadership. Key milestones during his time are listed in the table below:

Year	Event	Impact
1997-2000	Transition to Market Leader	Established as No. 1 in Mobile Industry
2008-2009	Restructuring and Downsizing	Rebounded within 6-8 Quarters Post-restructuring
2015	Investment in Sri Lanka	Reached $1.9 Billion, Expanding Market Dominance

Transition Plan for Axiata Group and the Role of Dr. Wijayasuriya until 2025

Dr. Wijayasuriya is getting ready to leave. But a strong leadership transition plan is in place. He will advise until 2025 to help Axiata and Sri Lanka’s digital future. For more on Sri Lanka’s economy and politics, check this article.

This careful planning shows Dr. Wijayasuriya’s impact. It prepares future leaders for the changing world of telecommunications.

Dr. Hans to Step Down from Axiata Group to Lead SL’s Digital Economy Agenda

Dr. Hans Wijayasuriya is making a big change. He’s moving from Axiata Group to lead Sri Lanka’s digital economy. His goal is to boost technology use in different sectors to help the economy grow.

Appointment as Chief Advisor to President on Digital Economy

Dr. Wijayasuriya is now the Chief Advisor to President Anura Kumara Dissanayake. This move is huge for adding digital tech in government. He will focus on making departments like Customs and Inland Revenue work better online.

He plans to work with others to make the economy stronger through tech. This includes sharing technology and working together on economic development.

Strategic Vision for Sri Lanka’s Digital Transformation

Dr. Wijayasuriya has big plans for Sri Lanka’s digital future. He wants to spend money on digital tools and train a tech-savvy workforce. His aim is to make the country a tech leader in the area.

He has a plan that uses resources from both the public and private sectors. The goal is to remake digital systems to help Sri Lanka’s economy.

Leveraging Technology Adoption for Economic Development

Dr. Wijayasuriya believes using technology well can grow the economy. He wants to digitalize how the government works and support tech start-ups. The plan is to build a place where new tech leads to growth.

Working with global tech leaders is key to this strategy. Their expertise and money are important. They’ll help Sri Lanka grow in a digital world, offering both sustainability and big economic pluses.

Future Prospects: Envisioning Sri Lanka’s Digital Economy Under New Leadership

Sri Lanka’s digital economy is ready for a big change. Dr. Hans Wijayasuriya is leading this change. As the head of Dialog Axiata PLC, he brings a lot of experience. Dialog Axiata is the largest listed company on the Colombo Stock and the top foreign investor in the country. Under his leadership, Dialog Axiata’s revenue went up to Rs. 141.9 billion. This was an 18% increase from the year before, showing the power of strong digital infrastructure.

Dialog Axiata has over 17 million subscribers. In 2021, they invested about Rs. 31.7 billion in connectivity. This shows their commitment to improving Sri Lanka’s digital landscape. Because of this investment, revenue from Mobile and Fixed Broadband grew by 10% and 39%, respectively. With Dr. Wijayasuriya’s vision, Sri Lanka’s digital economy is set to get even better.

Dr. Wijayasuriya also advises the President on the digital economy. This shows Sri Lanka’s focus on digital growth. The Sri Lanka Digital Marketing Summit 2023 is a big event. It has leaders from big companies like Google and Meta. Dialog Axiata is the main sponsor and plays a big role in organizing it. This underlines their importance in boosting Sri Lanka’s digital ecosystem. Despite economic challenges, the push for digital growth is strong. This promises a future where technology leads to progress and resilience.

World Bank Projects 4.4% Growth for Sri Lanka in 2024

The World Bank foresees a 4.4% growth for Sri Lanka’s economy in 2024. This positive outlook follows four quarters of growth. The industrial and tourism sectors are driving this progress. Check out the economic forecast for more details.

Sri Lanka’s economy has shown signs of stabilization, surpassing earlier estimates. However, the recovery remains fragile. It depends on maintaining stability, restructuring debt, and pursuing reforms.

Sri Lanka has $10 billion in untapped export potential annually, mainly in Asia. This could create about 142,500 new jobs. The World Bank suggests reducing tariffs and improving efficiency to boost exports.

Despite growth projections, poverty levels may stay above 20% until 2026. Inflation is expected to remain below 5% in 2024. The current account should stay in surplus, thanks to tourism and remittances.

Key Takeaways

The World Bank projects Sri Lanka’s economy to grow by 4.4% in 2024, driven by the industrial and tourism sectors.
Sri Lanka’s untapped export potential is estimated at $10 billion annually, which could create around 142,500 new jobs.
The recovery remains fragile and depends on maintaining macroeconomic stability, restructuring debt, and pursuing further reforms.
Poverty levels are expected to remain above 20% until 2026, despite the positive growth outlook.
Inflation is anticipated to stay below the Central Bank’s target of 5% in 2024, and the current account is forecasted to remain in surplus.

Sri Lanka’s Economy Stabilizes with Positive Growth Outlook

Sri Lanka’s economy is on the mend. The World Bank predicts a 4.4% growth rate in 2024. This follows four quarters of growth, led by industrial and tourism sectors.

The recovery stems from successful fiscal policies and debt restructuring. These efforts have stabilized the economy and drawn foreign investment.

Four Consecutive Quarters of Growth Driven by Industrial and Tourism Sectors

Industrial and tourism sectors have fueled Sri Lanka’s economic comeback. Tourism has rebounded as international visitors return to the island nation. The government’s promotion of Sri Lanka as a safe destination has boosted tourism revenue.

World Bank Warns Recovery Remains Fragile and Dependent on Reforms

The World Bank cautions that Sri Lanka’s recovery is still fragile. It depends on continuing structural reforms. The country must maintain stability, restructure debt, and implement growth-boosting reforms.

Sri Lanka could increase export revenues by $10 billion yearly. This could create about 142,500 new jobs. Diversifying the economy and promoting sustainable growth are crucial.

The World Bank expects growth to slow to 3.5% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026. This highlights the need for ongoing economic strengthening efforts.

Sri Lanka’s growth lags behind the 6.4% projected for South Asian economies. However, Sri Lanka’s commitment to recovery is clear from recent progress.

Focusing on women’s labor participation and global trade opportunities can boost growth. This will help Sri Lanka contribute to the region’s economic success.

Key Reforms Necessary to Boost Exports and Attract Foreign Investment

Sri Lanka aims to capitalize on its projected 4.4% economic growth in 2024. The World Bank report highlights the need for reforms to unlock $10 billion in export potential. Diversifying exports could create 142,500 new jobs, boosting the economy and reducing poverty.

Poverty rates are expected to remain above 20% until 2026. Reforms are crucial to attract foreign investment and create new opportunities. Sri Lanka must remove bureaucratic obstacles and level the playing field for investors.

Sri Lanka’s Untapped Export Potential Estimated at $10 billion Annually

To leverage its export potential, Sri Lanka must implement crucial reforms. These changes aim to attract foreign investment and create new jobs. The World Bank suggests streamlining processes and fostering an investor-friendly environment.

Diversifying Exports Across Manufacturing, Services, and Agriculture Crucial

Sri Lanka must focus on diversifying its exports across various sectors. This strategy will create a more resilient economy and new job opportunities. The report emphasizes increasing female labor force participation to drive inclusive growth.

Seylan Bank’s strong financial performance shows potential growth in the financial sector. This can support export-oriented businesses and contribute to overall economic development.

Removing Bureaucratic Obstacles and Creating Level Playing Field for Investors

Sri Lanka must address challenges like poverty, food insecurity, and financial sector vulnerabilities. Implementing targeted reforms and investing in education, healthcare, and infrastructure is crucial. These actions will create a better environment for businesses and ensure shared economic growth.

Embracing these critical reforms is essential for Sri Lanka’s future. They will unlock the country’s full economic potential and create a brighter future for its citizens.